Over the past few years Kosovo's economy has shown significant progress in transitioning to a market-based system and maintaining macroeconomic stability, but it is still highly dependent on the international community and the diaspora for financial and technical assistance. Remittances from the diaspora - located mainly in Germany, Switzerland, and the Nordic countries - are estimated to account for about 13-15% of GDP, and donor- financed activities and aid for another 7.5%. Kosovo's citizens are the poorest in Europe with an average annual per capita income of only $2,800. Unemployment, around 40% of the population, is a significant problem that encourages outward migration and black market activity. Most of Kosovo's population lives in rural towns outside of the capital, Pristina. Inefficient, near-subsistence farming is common - the result of small plots, limited mechanization, and lack of technical expertise. With international assistance, Kosovo has been able to privatize 50% of its state-owned enterprises (SOEs) by number, and over 90% of SOEs by value. Minerals and metals - including lignite, lead, zinc, nickel, chrome, aluminum, magnesium, and a wide variety of construction materials - once formed the backbone of industry, but output has declined because of ageing equipment and insufficient investment. A limited and unreliable electricity supply due to technical and financial problems is a major impediment to economic development, but Kosovo has received technical assistance to help improve accounting and controls. The US Government is cooperating with the Ministry for Energy and Mines and the World Bank to prepare a commercial tender for a project to include construction of a new power plant and the development of a coal mine to supply the new power plant as well as two existing plants. Privatization of the distribution and supply divisions of Kosovo Energy Corporation is also planned. The official currency of Kosovo is the euro, but the Serbian dinar is also used in Serb enclaves. Kosovo's tie to the euro has helped keep core inflation low. Kosovo has one of the most open economies in the region, and continues to work with the international community on measures to improve the business environment and attract foreign investment. Kosovo has maintained a budget surplus as a result of efficient value added tax (VAT) collection at the borders and inefficient budget execution. In order to help integrate Kosovo into regional economic structures, UNMIK signed (on behalf of Kosovo) its accession to the Central Europe Free Trade Area (CEFTA) in 2006. However, Serbia and Bosnia have refused to recognize Kosovo's customs stamp or extend reduced tariff privileges for Kosovo products under CEFTA. In July 2008, Kosovo received pledges of $1.9 billion from 37 countries in support of its reform priorities. In June 2009, Kosovo joined the World Bank and International Monetary Fund, and Kosovo began servicing its share of the former Yugoslavia's debt.
GDP (purchasing power parity): $11.97 billion (2010 est.) country comparison to the world: 144 $11.51 billion (2009 est.) $11.19 billion (2008 est.)
GDP (official exchange rate): $5.601 billion (2010 est.)
GDP - real growth rate: 4% (2010 est.) country comparison to the world: 98 2.9% (2009 est.) 6.9% (2008 est.)
GDP - per capita (PPP): $6,600 (2010 est.) country comparison to the world: 135 $6,400 (2009 est.) $5,300 (2008 est.)
GDP - composition by sector: agriculture: 12.9% industry: 22.6% services: 64.5% (2009 est.)
Exports - commodities: mining and processed metal products, scrap metals, leather products, machinery, appliances
Summary extracted from IMF Report - Republic of Kosovo: 2011 Article IV Consultation and the Initiation of a Staff-Monitored Program (August 2011)
The global financial crisis had only a modest impact on Kosovo, owing in part to limited integration into international financial and goods markets.
Real GDP growth slowed from close to 7 percent in 2008 to about 3 percent in 2009, before recovering to 4 percent in 2010 . This contrasts with many countries in the region where activity contracted. The solid growth performance owed much to robust domestic demand, which was buttressed by higher government spending as well as remittances and non-debt creating capital inflows from the diaspora (Table 3). Many Kosovars live in Germany and Switzerland, countries in which growth and employment held up relatively well. By contrast, in many neighboring countries sharp capital flow reversals forced disruptive current account adjustments through a compression of domestic demand. At the same time, Kosovo’s small export base limited the impact of weak demand in trading partner countries.
Inflation fell into negative territory in 2009, reflecting lower import prices for food and gasoline, but has since recovered. Core inflation remained well behaved throughout the crisis.
Growth in credit to the private sector slowed from more than 30 percent in 2007–08 to about 13 percent in 2009–10. The quality of bank assets deteriorated only modestly. Nonperforming loans (NPLs) increased to 5.9 percent in March 2011 from 3.3 percent at end-2008 (Table 5). High coverage of NPLs through provisions and an aggregate capital adequacy ratio of 18 percent suggest that banks continue to have large shock-absorbing capacity. They have also remained liquid and profitable.
Since 2008, growth in government expenditures accelerated, with the resulting deficits financed from accumulated savings, the sale of assets, and donor support . As a result, the general government balance shifted from a surplus of more than 7 percent of GDP in 2007 to a deficit of 2.6 percent in 2010. Capital spending has been the main driver of this expansion. Last year, construction started on a highway connecting Pristina with Albania’s border, with total costs estimated at more than 20 percent of annual GDP spread over a period of 4 years. The central government would be subject to large penalties in case of rephasing if, for example, the necessary land expropriations proceed less rapidly than planned, which adds considerable risks to the fiscal outlook. In 2011, the government increased public sector wages and benefits for war invalids and their families between 30 and 50 percent; additional, potentially costly spending initiatives are in preparation
An 18-month Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) was approved by the IMF Executive Board on July 21, 2010, but went off track in 2011. The program supported by the SBA was built around (i) restraint on current spending, higher revenues and privatization receipts to contain the impact on the investment program on the overall deficit, and (ii) bolstering the government’s deposits with the Central Bank to build buffers for fiscal and financial contingencies . The 2011 budget adopted by the newly constituted Assembly deviated from the budget agreed in the context of the SBA, notably the large public sector wage increases. Unfunded social spending initiatives with unclear budgetary impacts posed additional risks to fiscal sustainability. As a result, no review under the program could be completed. Click here to view full report Banking
Kosovo’s financial sector has developed rapidly during the last six years, particularly in banking. The Central Banking Authority of Kosovo (CBAK), the successor of the Banking and Payments Authority of Kosovo, is a distinct public entity with the authority to license, supervise and regulate financial institutions in the territory of Kosovo. The CBAK has adopted banking rules and regulations that are in line with the Basel Accords and EU directives.
Kosovo uses the euro as its national currency, although the country is not a member of the European Central Bank.
Eight private commercial banks dominate Kosovo’s financial sector, many of them foreign-owned, comprising around 80% of total financial assets. Insurance companies, pension funds and other financial intermediaries make up about 20% of the financial sector. At the end of 2009, financial sector assets amounted to EUR 2.1 billion, a 20% increase compared to the previous year.
Neither the banking sector nor local commercial enterprises are ready to finance large investment projects in the private sector. In the past three years, there has been little private investment in Kosovo, outside of housing reconstruction. About 80 percent of bank credits are short-term credits, which do not support long-term investments. Most of deposits are demand deposits.
Background:
The central Balkans were part of the Roman and Byzantine Empires before ethnic Serbs migrated to the territories of modern Kosovo in the 7th century. During the medieval period, Kosovo became the center of a Serbian Empire and saw the construction of many important Serb religious sites, including many architecturally significant Serbian Orthodox monasteries. The defeat of Serbian forces at the Battle of Kosovo in 1389 led to five centuries of Ottoman rule during which large numbers of Turks and Albanians moved to Kosovo. By the end of the 19th century, Albanians replaced the Serbs as the dominant ethnic group in Kosovo. Serbia reacquired control over Kosovo from the Ottoman Empire during the First Balkan War of 1912. After World War II, Kosovo became an autonomous province of Serbia in the Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (S.F.R.Y.) with status almost equivalent to that of a republic under the 1974 S.F.R.Y. constitution. Despite legislative concessions, Albanian nationalism increased in the 1980s, which led to riots and calls for Kosovo's independence. At the same time, Serb nationalist leaders, such as Slobodan MILOSEVIC, exploited Kosovo Serb claims of maltreatment to secure votes from supporters, many of whom viewed Kosovo as their cultural heartland. Under MILOSEVIC's leadership, Serbia instituted a new constitution in 1989 that revoked Kosovo's status as an autonomous province of Serbia. Kosovo Albanian leaders responded in 1991 by organizing a referendum that declared Kosovo independent. Under MILOSEVIC, Serbia carried out repressive measures against the Albanians in the early 1990s as the unofficial Kosovo government, led by Ibrahim RUGOVA, used passive resistance in an attempt to try to gain international assistance and recognition of an independent Kosovo. Albanians dissatisfied with RUGOVA's passive strategy in the 1990s created the Kosovo Liberation Army and launched an insurgency. Starting in 1998, Serbian military, police, and paramilitary forces under MILOSEVIC conducted a brutal counterinsurgency campaign that resulted in massacres and massive expulsions of ethnic Albanians. Approximately 800,000 Albanians were forced from their homes in Kosovo during this time. International attempts to mediate the conflict failed, and MILOSEVIC's rejection of a proposed settlement led to a three-month NATO military operation against Serbia beginning in March 1999 that forced Serbia to agree to withdraw its military and police forces from Kosovo. UN Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999) placed Kosovo under a transitional administration, the UN Interim Administration Mission in Kosovo (UNMIK), pending a determination of Kosovo's future status. A UN-led process began in late 2005 to determine Kosovo's final status. The negotiations ran in stages between 2006 and 2007, but ended without agreement between Belgrade and Pristina. On 17 February 2008, the Kosovo Assembly declared Kosovo independent. Since then, over 70 countries have recognized Kosovo, and it has joined the International Monetary Fund and World Bank. Serbia continues to reject Kosovo's independence and in October 2008, it sought an advisory opinion from the International Court of Justice (ICJ) on the legality under international law of Kosovo's declaration of independence. The ICJ released the advisory opinion in July 2010 affirming that Kosovo's declaration of independence did not violate general principles of international law, UN Security Council Resolution 1244, or the Constitutive Framework. The opinion was closely tailored to Kosovo's unique history and circumstances.Government type: republic
Capital: name: Pristina (Prishtine, Prishtina) time difference: UTC+1 (6 hours ahead of Washington, DC during Standard Time) daylight saving time: +1hr, begins last Sunday in March; ends last Sunday in October
Independence: 17 February 2008 (from Serbia)
National holiday: Independence Day, 17 February (2008)
Constitution: adopted by the Kosovo Assembly on 9 April 2008; effective 15 June 2008
Legal system: evolving legal system based on terms of former UN Special Envoy Martti AHTISAARI's Plan for Kosovo's supervised independence
Suffrage: 18 years of age; universal
Government:
Chief of state: President Behgjet PACOLLI (since 22 February 2011) head of government: Prime Minister Hashim THACI (since 9 January 2008) cabinet: ministers; elected by the Kosovo Assembly
elections: the president is elected for a five-year term by the Kosovo Assembly; election last held on 22 February 2011; note - the prime minister elected by the Kosovo Assembly election results: Behgjet PACOLLI elected president after three rounds; Hashim THACI elected prime minister by the Assembly
Serbia with several other states protest the US and other states' recognition of Kosovo's declaring itself as a sovereign and independent state in February 2008; ethnic Serbian municipalities along Kosovo's northern border challenge final status of Kosovo-Serbia boundary; several thousand NATO-led KFOR peacekeepers under UNMIK authority continue to keep the peace within Kosovo between the ethnic Albanian majority and the Serb minority in Kosovo; Kosovo and Macedonia completed demarcation of their boundary in September 2008